Good morning, America: The hiking cycle is over #2

Good Morning America: A global coordinated “inflation has peaked” narrative from major central banks?

The extent of hikes will now be 100% data-dependent and guided by how lags of former hikes will hit the economy in both the US, the UK and the Euro zone. This almost felt like a global coordinated “inflation has peaked” narrative from central banks. What are the ramifications?

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Something for your Espresso: Is the ECB even aware of the banking crisis in the US?

Something for your Espresso: Powell BLEW it! Lagarde will not!

Weaker USD, lower rates, performing equities and credits. Powell blew it if he truly wanted to push back on loosening financial conditions. The Fed is now talking about the extent of hikes instead of the pace of hikes, which is an open door to a pause already in March. Position accordingly, not least as the ECB has a rare opportunity to “hawk things up” further.

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Steno Signals #27 – The tanned grinch

Steno Signals #27 – The tanned grinch

Lagarde starred in the role as the slightly more tanned Grinch as central banks decided to ruin Christmas. Structural liquidity doesn’t look too bad and 2023 is not necessarily the year of the bear.

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