Steno Signals

Steno Signals is our weekly editorial on everything macro. The byline of the editorial is Andreas Steno Larsen, former chief strategist at Nordea Bank and CEO of Steno Research.

Fed Live Blog

Fed Live Blog

When Fed Chair Powell goes on stage tonight we of course stay on the line for live coverage of the interest rate decision and the following speech. Get prepared and follow the meeting with us, as well as getting the best takeaways here on our live blog!

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5 Things We Watch: Five Aspects Surrounding the Banking Turmoil

5 Things We Watch: Five Aspects Surrounding the Banking Turmoil

This week really has been one for the books. On Friday, markets sounded the alarm as we experienced the second largest bank-failure in US history. Naturally, this behemoth event swept magazine covers and blew up our phones and inboxes leaving not much room for other things to watch – hence this peculiar edition of the recurring ‘5 Things We Watch’, where all five things relate to the banking frenzy.

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Steno Signals #38: Is this good or bad inflation?

Steno Signals #38: Is this good or bad inflation?

There are undoubtedly signs of inflation pressures resurfacing in leading indicators, but remember that activity leads inflation. If inflation returns (from a momentum perspective), it is because activity has picked up markedly ahead of it. That is not bad news.

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Steno Signals #34 – From a recession to a soft landing to a raging boom in just one week

Steno Signals #34 – From a recession to a soft landing to a raging boom in just one week

Economic data is currently all over the place, but the bottom-line is clear. The recession is NOT here, and judging from our probability models it may take another while (at least until Q3). This is in sharp contrast to sentiment entering 2023 and not least positioning.

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Steno Signals #27 – The tanned grinch

Steno Signals #27 – The tanned grinch

Lagarde starred in the role as the slightly more tanned Grinch as central banks decided to ruin Christmas. Structural liquidity doesn’t look too bad and 2023 is not necessarily the year of the bear.

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Steno Signals #23 – Ni Hao China?

Steno Signals #23 – Ni Hao China?

Given the rumors surrounding the Chinese reopening story we thought that we would do a deep dive into the China story and look at what is moving. Can we even expect to see a reopening?

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