The Great Game

Crude prices haven’t responded to output delays as hoped, and we wonder whether that will prompt the alliance to change its strategy.

Beginning this week, we’re merging our weekly coverage of the energy/commodity space and geopolitics. This will allow us to be even more actionable and specific when analyzing global events, as the ramifications of war and peace are most often felt in the commodity space.

We take a closer look at the situation in Ukraine and the Middle East with tensions and market risks at very high levels

Here’s a quick rundown of the most important geopolitical risks right now!

Risk assessment of the situation in Lebanon and Venezuela

Whoa, yet another completely historical weekend in the US Presidential Race. President Biden is out of contention in what was perhaps the most predictable thing in a completely unpredictable race so far. Now, as we discussed  yesterday, Kamala Harris is entering the race as an underdog, but a Trump landslide in November is far from a foregone conclusion. I would still put Kamala at around 30% chance of winning the White House – especially due to all the uncertainty of this election cycle. The next debate is not until September 10th. so even if polls don’t swing in Kamala’s favor, she still has that joker up her sleeve. Usually, we wouldn’t expect debates to swing elections massively, but one debate performance just killed the candidacy of an incumbent President, so never say never! Now, while we had some grasp on what a second term Biden or Trump presidency would look like, most investors are in the dark over what to expect should Kamala win in November. In this piece, That’s important for two obvious reasons – 1) what to plan for if she wins and 2) which sectors could see movement if/when polls temporarily or permanently swing in Kamala’s favor. So without further ado – here’s my five predictions on what Kamalanomics might look like. 1. A tourist at the helm The main point here is that Kamala is NOT an economics major and has very little experience in managing the economy. She is a lawyer and former Attorney General, […]

We cover the three recent elections and what they mean for investors and geopolitics

With Biden nosediving in polls, France’s far right party is surging in the First round of legislative elections. What will this mean for markets?

In our weekly geopolitical overview, we cover Israel-Hezbollah tensions, attacks on a beach in Crimea and an exciting political week ahead.

Tesla is emerging as the clear winner of the EU-China trade war so far – why is that? And why are markets so panicky over the French election?

What to make of China’s drills off Taiwan and Israel’s standoff with Egypt?

We cover the four most important geopolitical topics of the past week – Iran, Ukraine, Israel… and Congo!

Does the dismissal of Sergei Shoigu signal desperation or confidence from Putin? And why is Biden suddenly escalating the trade war with China?

Do we have peace or don’t we? What going on in Gaza and what game is Israel and Hamas playing? Plus: What is the strategy behind Xi Jinping’s European tour?

The US Congress has passed major new aid for Ukraine, but it might be to late. Here’s our assessment and thoughts on how you can prepare for when Ukraine loses

Undertanding Iran’s strike and what might come next – plus some potential solutions for the Red Sea crisis.

Israel is running out of sympathy, China is swaying a major neighbouring country and the Chips War is evolving

Geopolitical analysis of the questions we’re getting the most

Putin takes the expected win, but his real victory might come from inaction in the streets.

We cover the hottest geopolitical topics relevant to your portfolio!

Congress fighting to avert a shutdown – is it really time for that again?