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Steno Signals #54 – Why Europe remains a wrong consensus call

Steno Signals #54 – Why Europe remains a wrong consensus call

Geopolitics remain tricky to trade and we don’t see any strong risk/reward trades on the back of the turbulence in Russia over the weekend. Meanwhile, Europe remains an odd consensus bet, while UK inflation and US housing markets risk wrongfooting everyone.

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EM by EM #8 The Indian elephant in the room- will it keep holding up?

EM by EM #8 The Indian elephant in the room- will it keep holding up?

In this current cycle, India has emerged as a favorite among emerging market investors. But are we seeing a bubble similar to Japan in the 1980s? Or will India be successful in replicating the success of China? While we maintain a positive outlook – India counterintuitively is not cheap.

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Great Game – 3 key predictions for the Ukraine war in 2024

The Great Game – Betrayal from the inside threatens OPEC solidarity

Why – even after successive cuts – does crude oil keep settling on a $70 barrel? The conundrum has pitted the OPEC+ alliance against each other. Suspicious eyes are turning away from outside foes, and are now looking inwards, trying to sniff out the mole who is free-riding on the collective. Will the imposter be detrimental to Saudi’s production cut strategy?

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The Great Game #7 – German Panzers in Ukraine?

The Great Game #7 – German Panzers in Ukraine?

Whoa, what a week it has been in Ukraine. Russian calls for ceasefires, rumours about Putins imminent death and now the prospect of German Panzers rolling around Ukraine. Have we just entered 1943 and not 2023? And does the huge influx of Western armored vehicles change our outlook on the war?

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