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EM by EM #23 Playing the least dirty laundry vs the dirtiest

EM by EM #19 The Simsek Effect kicking in?

The Turkish central bank hiked the interest rates by 750 basis points against the market expectations of 200 bp underlying this month and both stocks & lira rallied on the back of it. Where is the Turkey case heading from here? Read our view here

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Portfolio Watch: The last gasp of a dying man?

Portfolio Watch: Catching a Chinese cold?

Summer volatility razor, BoJ and Xi’s real estate malaise have all contributed to headwinds for most asset classes. We are still alive and kicking despite a few knocks and bruises. Read here for full context

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Money Watch – Is money growth BACK?

Money Watch – Is money growth BACK?

The tightening cycle continues for both the Fed, ECB and now also BoJ, and that means it’s time to revisit global money trends to see what might happen next.

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Portfolio Watch: The last gasp of a dying man?

Portfolio Watch: Surfing the boomer wave

BoJ’s decision is of course the big talking point for markets this week. Our book keeps up despite some impact from Ueda’s decision- but what will it mean and how will we trade it in the coming weeks? Read our view below

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Positioning Watch – Oil longs are not as big as you think

Positioning Watch – Preparing for (dis)inflation?

With a strong jobs report and a soft CPI print, the market is currently digesting divergent data. In the upcoming weeks, we will closely observe market positioning to interpret the implications for price action. If the inflation paradigm is shifting, how are markets prepared?

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Portfolio Watch: The last gasp of a dying man?

Portfolio Watch: The Summer Volatility Razor

Volatility has been detrimental to many books this week which too is reflected in some of our positions and it appears that diversification is gaining increased significance given the resurgence of volatility. Traders who are not paying attention here will pay for it involuntarily

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5 Things We Watch – The Equity Rally, the Chinese consumption problem, Consumers vs Corporates, 20/21 reversed?, MBS and the Fed

5 Things We Watch – The Equity Rally, the Chinese consumption problem, Consumers vs Corporates, 20/21 reversed?, MBS and the Fed

The equity rally continues, Xi is in the middle of structural issues, house lending is falling off a cliff in EZ and inflation is waning fast. Read more about the 5 things that we watch currently in this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’.

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Portfolio Watch: The last gasp of a dying man?

Portfolio Watch: Bears & Hawks

With today’s recessionary PMI numbers, hawkish central bank rhetoric and a shift in price action, there are good reasons to believe that positioning might flip from now on, as investors will likely prefer bonds over equities.

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Stock Market Watch: Time to call off the Recession?

Stock Market Watch: Time to call off the Recession?

Large parts of the stock market have rallied recently, and whispers of a new bull market are steadily surfacing. Has the time come for caving in to bulls, or are we just seeing the results of impatience after 1,5 years of limbo?

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5 Things We Watch – The Equity Rally, the Chinese consumption problem, Consumers vs Corporates, 20/21 reversed?, MBS and the Fed

5 Things We Watch – The AI bubble, EUR Liquidity, Pivot hopes, the bull case for markets and UK Inflation

With the recent central bank bonanza, pivot hopes and the ongoing rally in equities, there are plenty of things to take a look at in this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’. Follow along, as we share our thoughts on what to look out for in the weeks to come.

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EM by EM #23 Playing the least dirty laundry vs the dirtiest

EM by EM #8 The Indian elephant in the room- will it keep holding up?

In this current cycle, India has emerged as a favorite among emerging market investors. But are we seeing a bubble similar to Japan in the 1980s? Or will India be successful in replicating the success of China? While we maintain a positive outlook – India counterintuitively is not cheap.

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