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Portfolio Watch: Any juice left in the anti-Europe bet?

Portfolio Watch: Any juice left in the anti-Europe bet?

The short Europe bet is getting increasingly crowded but for good reasons, while the energy bet, impressively, is not overly crowded yet. That is comforting for EUR shorts as energy is a main driver of European versus US allocation.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch – Preparing for (dis)inflation?

With a strong jobs report and a soft CPI print, the market is currently digesting divergent data. In the upcoming weeks, we will closely observe market positioning to interpret the implications for price action. If the inflation paradigm is shifting, how are markets prepared?

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch – The 60/40 portfolio in reverse

The summer lull is here, which normally calls for a quiet period in markets. But volatility might not be as low throughout July as a lot of people anticipated, which could force PMs back from the beaches. Follow along as we dissect how traders are positioned coming into the vacation season.

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EM by EM #9 The EM proxy crime and when to commit it

EM by EM #9 The EM proxy crime and when to commit it

As a new addition to our editorial, I will now provide a monthly overview of emerging markets, taking a step back from the intricacies and offering a broader perspective. The purpose of this feature is to outline our current positioning within the market cycle and highlight the key factors we are monitoring surrounding EM.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch: Like a dog chasing its own tail

Positioning is a MUST watch now that the Fed has skipped/paused. The risk of positioning getting crowded over the next couple of months is high and we aim at riding the wave until positioning tells us not to.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch – Turning our attention to Institutions and Fund Flows

Bullish price action and the soft-landing narrative is still roaring in markets, and we thus wonder whether It’s just the AI bonanza that’s driving market sentiment, or if the big players have actually switched their views. We take a look at institutional positioning and fund flows in this week’s edition.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch – The soft landing narrative is scratching the surface again

With the debt ceiling deal done and yesterday’s stunning NFP numbers, the soft landing narrative seems to be back, and optimism is gaining territory in the global macro scene. See what this means for positioning across asset classes, and whether you’ve placed your eggs in the right basket.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch – Gold party still on

Cheers to the weekend everyone! And welcome back to your Positioning Watch series. The data is now up to speed again and you can always find ALL positioning data readily available in our datahub. We will highlight the most important conclusions weekly in this series. Equity positioning: Nasdaq positioning remains LONG – Nasdaq keeps up steam from the easter – Overall equity positioning remains short but the sentiment is not overly bearish across styles/s While the recent liquidity injection has offered tailwinds to equities we suspect fundamentals won’t justify the valuations as the sugar rush reverses. We could still see some optimism play out, but overall our long beta is running on fumes and thus trimmed down a tad FX Positioning: JPY is still unpopular – JPY positioning keeps bearish overall but a tad less than during easter – The EUR bet is still very consensusy, while BRL bullishness has lost a bit of steam – The USD positioning is long and BRL is slowly losing its favour among speculators We remain positive on BRL which seems cheap and offers good real rates in a world starving for inflation- safety. Suffice to say price action has yet to follow suit Commodity Positioning: Gold party is still on – Gold positioning may look stretched and plenty of profits could be ripe for taking. But positioning remains long for now – Energy still hasn’t got the recession memo On the surface, it may look as if oil is simply proxying expectations of […]

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch: Silence before the storm

It seems like traders are hesitant to make major allocation adjustments in the current environment, leaving us with a ‘silence before the storm’ impression. Find out if you have your eggs in the correct baskets in this week’s edition.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch: How big were the SVB flows?

Let’s have a look at our flow -and positioning indicators after a week of market turbulence. How big were the SVB-fueled flows on Thursday and Friday? We look across assets in this analysis.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch: Does positioning and fund flows unfog the ambiguity ruling markets?

In this somewhat unusual edition of the ‘Positioning Watch’ we’ll take a look at relevant and readily available data to assess whether we are leaning with or against the wind. Maybe this can provide further insight into the ambiguity which we have experienced in markets lately.

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning watch – A turn to fund flows

What to do when COT-data is delayed? Here is a ‘special edition’ of our weekly ‘Positioning Watch’ covering recent fund flows in major ETFs in various asset classes. How do people really feel about the latest movements in markets not least given the absurd economic data released this week?

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Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning

Positioning Watch – A sentiment-gauge across asset classes

Saturday is here, and we hope that you all have a great weekend. Meanwhile, Saturday also means fresh CFTC COT data, so while we endorse you to kick up your feet, we’ll present to you our updated dashboards on positioning across asset classes and highlight the peculiarities that catch our eyes.

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