The PBoC rate cuts are not a surprise to us as the pressures facing China are intensifying. But where does it leave monetary policy going forward?
Positioning Watch – The Chinese disappointment is written all over the latest positioning
CPI is cooling with economic data still suggesting that we are in a Goldilocks scenario. But are markets claiming their victory too early? And will unusual optimism be the catalyst for a recession?
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Positioning Watch – The soft landing narrative is scratching the surface again
With the debt ceiling deal done and yesterday’s stunning NFP numbers, the soft landing narrative seems to be back, and optimism is gaining territory in the global macro scene. See what this means for positioning across asset classes, and whether you’ve placed your eggs in the right basket.
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Trade Alert: Five trades added to our portfolio
Our portfolio is live, and we have added USDCNH, long Japanese equities, long 2yr USTs, long EM Local Govies and the FOMO AI trade. Details are attached here.
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Positioning Watch: The mystery behind the massive shorts in equities and bonds
Based on price action, equity optimism is back, but positioning data tells us another story. We unfold the mystery, as well as providing you with positioning data across asset classes. Find out if you share the view of traders in this week’s edition.
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Positioning Watch: Gimme shelther
Now that the ECB and Fed meetings have concluded, we can assess how traders have positioned themselves after the curtains have closed
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Positioning Watch: The EUR is the only one left at the party
With the failure of First Republic Bank and Ueda’s dovish remarks, we once again dig into how traders are positioned across asset classes. Find out if you have picked the right horses in this week’s edition.
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Fixed Income Watch: Zooming in on the curve steepening
What happens when the curve steepens? It is bad good news for commodities, mixed news for equities and often temporarily good news for the USD except against JPY. Here is why..
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Positioning Watch – Is this a bear market rally or the beginning of a bull run?
We look into how traders are positioned every Saturday to assess whether we are leaning with or against the wind. Is this a new bull run or just another bear market rally? Let’s have a look at the numbers
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