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Andreas Steno Larsen
Euro Watch: A conflict of interest emerging between ECB and Italy

Euro Watch: A conflict of interest emerging between ECB and Italy

With Lagarde and her companions taking a semi-hawkish stance recently, Italy is in a difficult position as funding possibilities are narrowing in front of their eyes. They need somebody to buy their govies, while the ECB wants to tighten policy further. Follow along in today’s piece, where we dive into the details of the Italian government and its debt problems.

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5 Things We Watch: Brazil, Italy, CNY, DAX and EU Banking Crisis

5 Things We Watch: Italy, Chinese reopening, Debt Ceiling, Excess Savings and FX positioning

What’s going on with Italian banks? How does the Chinese reopening look? What are the ramifications of a US shutdown? Will consumers run out of excess savings? And are FX crosses ready for a recession? Find the answers in this week’s edition.

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Spending Watch: The great question about excess savings

Spending Watch: Looking into the balance sheet of US Households

Despite all the recession talks and worsening economic conditions, consumers seem to be fine (for now), which might disturb our thesis of lower inflation and a recession in H2. In this piece, we’ll shed some light on the household balance sheet and deduce what it means for macro the next couple of months

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5 Things We Watch: Brazil, Italy, CNY, DAX and EU Banking Crisis

5 Things We Watch: The return of the banking crisis, Japan, China, Liquidity and Euro Inflation

The banking crisis seems to be back, Asia is apparently the new black, and the hopes of an economic comeback in the West is vanishing. Things are certainly not as we thought a couple of months ago, but follow along as we look at the best hideouts in this week’s edition.

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Positioning Watch: The mystery behind the massive shorts in equities and bonds

Positioning Watch: Silence before the storm

It seems like traders are hesitant to make major allocation adjustments in the current environment, leaving us with a ‘silence before the storm’ impression. Find out if you have your eggs in the correct baskets in this week’s edition.

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5 Things We Watch: Brazil, Italy, CNY, DAX and EU Banking Crisis

5 Things We Watch: (Dis)Inflation, FOMC Meeting Minutes, The Debt ceiling, Energy and Japan

With the banking turmoil leaving the headlines (for now), we turn our attention towards the main themes in the broader macro landscape. What’s going on with inflation? What will the Fed do? Is oil turning bullish? And what about Japan? As always we keep you updated on the 5 biggest themes of the week. Enjoy!

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Fed Live Blog

Fed Live Blog

When Fed Chair Powell goes on stage tonight we of course stay on the line for live coverage of the interest rate decision and the following speech. Get prepared and follow the meeting with us, as well as getting the best takeaways here on our live blog!

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