Is Brazil a hideout in the current environment? How will Italy refinance its debt? Is it time for CNY to head lower? Have we seen the top in DAX? And will the banking crisis move to Europe? Find the answers here.
Euro Watch: A conflict of interest emerging between ECB and Italy
With Lagarde and her companions taking a semi-hawkish stance recently, Italy is in a difficult position as funding possibilities are narrowing in front of their eyes. They need somebody to buy their govies, while the ECB wants to tighten policy further. Follow along in today’s piece, where we dive into the details of the Italian government and its debt problems.
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Positioning Watch: The mystery behind the massive shorts in equities and bonds
Based on price action, equity optimism is back, but positioning data tells us another story. We unfold the mystery, as well as providing you with positioning data across asset classes. Find out if you share the view of traders in this week’s edition.
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5 Things We Watch: Italy, Chinese reopening, Debt Ceiling, Excess Savings and FX positioning
What’s going on with Italian banks? How does the Chinese reopening look? What are the ramifications of a US shutdown? Will consumers run out of excess savings? And are FX crosses ready for a recession? Find the answers in this week’s edition.
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Spending Watch: The great question about excess savings
One of the big drivers behind inflation and the economic boom in 2021 is the excess liquidity that the US government created for households and consumers. But what exactly has excess savings meant for the economy, and what is the outlook? Find out here.
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5 Things We Watch: Inflation, Real Estate, Banking Crisis, Credit and Euro Weakness
Wednesday is back, and so is the weekly post where we highlight what we are currently spending our time looking at. Don’t miss out on the crucial tendencies in global macro presented in this shorter piece!
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Real Estate Watch: More charts on the real estate outlook
A couple of weeks ago, we provided you with a list of regional banks with the biggest exposure towards commercial real estate. Now, it’s time to see how those players have performed since, as well as providing you with further charts on the real estate outlook. Enjoy!
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Spending Watch: Looking into the balance sheet of US Households
Despite all the recession talks and worsening economic conditions, consumers seem to be fine (for now), which might disturb our thesis of lower inflation and a recession in H2. In this piece, we’ll shed some light on the household balance sheet and deduce what it means for macro the next couple of months
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Positioning Watch: The EUR is the only one left at the party
With the failure of First Republic Bank and Ueda’s dovish remarks, we once again dig into how traders are positioned across asset classes. Find out if you have picked the right horses in this week’s edition.
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5 Things We Watch: The return of the banking crisis, Japan, China, Liquidity and Euro Inflation
The banking crisis seems to be back, Asia is apparently the new black, and the hopes of an economic comeback in the West is vanishing. Things are certainly not as we thought a couple of months ago, but follow along as we look at the best hideouts in this week’s edition.
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Positioning Watch: Silence before the storm
It seems like traders are hesitant to make major allocation adjustments in the current environment, leaving us with a ‘silence before the storm’ impression. Find out if you have your eggs in the correct baskets in this week’s edition.
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5 Things We Watch: (Dis)Inflation, FOMC Meeting Minutes, The Debt ceiling, Energy and Japan
With the banking turmoil leaving the headlines (for now), we turn our attention towards the main themes in the broader macro landscape. What’s going on with inflation? What will the Fed do? Is oil turning bullish? And what about Japan? As always we keep you updated on the 5 biggest themes of the week. Enjoy!
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Fed Live Blog
When Fed Chair Powell goes on stage tonight we of course stay on the line for live coverage of the interest rate decision and the following speech. Get prepared and follow the meeting with us, as well as getting the best takeaways here on our live blog!
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