Great Game – 5 Things I Expect from Kamalanomics
Whoa, yet another completely historical weekend in the US Presidential Race. President Biden is out of contention in what was perhaps the most predictable thing in a completely unpredictable race so far. Now, as we discussed yesterday, Kamala Harris is entering the race as an underdog, but a Trump landslide in November is far from a foregone conclusion. I would still put Kamala at around 30% chance of winning the White House – especially due to all the uncertainty of this election cycle. The next debate is not until September 10th. so even if polls don’t swing in Kamala’s favor, she still has that joker up her sleeve. Usually, we wouldn’t expect debates to swing elections massively, but one debate performance just killed the candidacy of an incumbent President, so never say never! Now, while we had some grasp on what a second term Biden or Trump presidency would look like, most investors are in the dark over what to expect should Kamala win in November. In this piece, That’s important for two obvious reasons – 1) what to plan for if she wins and 2) which sectors could see movement if/when polls temporarily or permanently swing in Kamala’s favor. So without further ado – here’s my five predictions on what Kamalanomics might look like. 1. A tourist at the helm The main point here is that Kamala is NOT an economics major and has very little experience in managing the economy. She is a lawyer and former Attorney General, […]
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