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EM by EM #36: What Goldman got wrong about China in 2023

EM BY EM #17 China: Real Estate Complex and the “phony” stimulus

In 2021, I took a bearish position in the Chinese real estate market. However, the scale of the repercussions stemming from the ongoing deleveraging process in Chinese real estate has raised our concerns. Despite this, we believe that the CCP will likely need to intervene in the near term to address the situation

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European Deposits: US turmoil on tour?

European Deposits: US turmoil on tour?

Several US regional banks fell victim to the waning confidence from depositors who ultimately pulled the plug. Are European banks really safeguarded by better legislation, or are we taking comfort in a false sense of security?

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Money Watch: Your favorite liquidity proxy is about to become drier than a Martini

Money Watch: Your favorite liquidity proxy is about to become drier than a Martini

The banking-storm has calmed down a bit and the small banks’ share of total deposits has regained some territory in recent weeks. However, if fixed income losses continue to weigh down on balance sheets, then we cannot rule out more stories of banks in trouble. For now though, it would seem the FED intervention has idled the turmoil.

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CRE Watch: Illiquid trouble stuck on the books

CRE Watch: Illiquid trouble stuck on the books

As the banking stress has waned in news value, commercial real estate has taken over the baton. In this article, we’ll try and sort fact from fiction and wisen up on what is really moving beneath the surface.

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Equity watch: Fire-sale or Outright Fire in US Bank Stocks

Equity watch: Fire-sale or Outright Fire in US Bank Stocks

What a couple weeks! Confidence in the US banking system has been under immense stress, and some contagion crossed the Atlantic and struck Europe as well. Triggered by a casino in disguise, the troubles have for now been backstopped, but is further distress lurking beneath the surface?

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