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Portfolio Watch – Time for liquidity bets
2024-05-03
The overall dovish FOMC message Wednesday has laid the foundation for liquidity bets to perform over the coming weeks, as the hopes of rate cuts are back alive amidst the ...Macro Nugget: The CNY is STRONG versus peers. A devaluation is appropriate
2024-05-03We present one of five reasons for the CNY to devaluate. To read the full article, sign up for a 14-day FREE trial of the Basic, Premium or Crypto plan. Already ...Crypto Moves #26 – What Goes Up Must Come Down
2024-05-02The crypto market experienced a remarkable rally from late last year up to now. However, all good things eventually come to an end. The market is facing a shortage of ...Quant signals: FX hedge rebalancing model
2024-05-02Real money investors holding foreign assets must hedge their FX exposure and adjust their hedge as the value of their foreign holdings fluctuates. Our proprietary FX-hedge rebalancing model captures exactly ...5 Things We Watch Ahead of the FOMC Meeting
2024-05-01Tonight’s FOMC decision will likely come as a surprise to markets, but the rhetoric and possible acknowledgement of market pricing will be key. We provide 5 things that we look ...Positioning Watch – Prepare for further action in JPY pairs
2024-04-30With BoJ intervening this week, moneyness in options expiring next week has exploded and will likely imply further stress in JPY pairs, while broad equity sentiment sours. Our weekly positioning ...
Something for your Espresso: The cycle is sending mixed signals, but you need to watch Sweden
2024-05-03PMIs have delivered a bunch of head-fake signals in recent years, and the market is now starting to fear a head-fake in Manufacturing again. The evidence is mixed, but still ...Something for your Espresso: A growing acceptance of above target inflation
2024-05-02It seems like there is a growing acceptance of above target inflation embedded in the FOMC reaction function. Markets took on a roller-coaster ride after the FOMC, but we see ...Something for your Espresso: Bye bye reflation? Not so fast..
2024-05-01There are two major narratives in USD space right now. One is to discuss whether the Fed needs to cut at all, the other is to conclude that the US ...
