We are walking a tightrope with war, high energy prices and recessionary risks. Is the market pricing congruent or does market pricing suffer from cognitive dissonance here?
Commodity Watch: Alternatives to betting directly on the curve
This week has been all about the yield curve and a potential steepener here at Steno Research. We’ll end the week on a short note for those seeking alternative ways of playing the steepener.
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5 Things We Watch – Fed overtightening, Curve steepening, US CPI, BoJ & China
Ahead of the CPI release tomorrow we zoom out to provide you with the bigger picture and what to watch out for in global macro over the next weeks.
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Yield Curve Watch: Bull, bear, steeper, flatter? Here is what the data suggests
We launch our Yield Curve watch series with an editorial of the prospects for the curve. Is steepening on the cards? And is bull- or bear steepening most likely from here? Here is the data!
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Good morning, America: The hiking cycle is over #2
Goldilocks data keeps coming from the US economy, while the ECB rhetoric hints of the hiking cycle potentially already being over. Here are our take-aways. The steepening will CONTINUE as the cycle is (almost) over.
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Something for your Espresso: Will anyone care about inflation?
The market is convincing itself that the hiking cycle is over in the US, but will anyone care about inflation today? Long gone are the calls for higher(er) for longer(er) and the curve is steepening fast.
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5 Things We Watch: Fed rhetoric, Chinese rebound, Chinese inventories, US labor market and a record-breaking yield curve inversion
Midweek has arrived and that calls for a rundown of the five things we watch the closest. As is the custom every Wednesday, we will take you through these most important themes (and charts) in macro and summarize how we interpret them.
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