The immediate shutdown threat has been averted, although the issue of war funding remains unresolved for President Biden. The question remains: is the political gridlock alleviated? Read our brief take below
On Wednesday, the European commission made a formal recommendation to start EU membership negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova. Now Ukraine must work to secure the endorsements of member states – not least Poland, who’s incoming government will be decisive for Ukraine’s future with the Union.
US Politics is in a state of gridlock. We give our latest view on the affairs on Capitol Hill below
After a series of eventful days on Capitol Hill, we present our key takeaways below. We remain committed to covering and sharing our perspective as the situation continues to evolve.
The U.S government will shut down on Sunday when FY23 funding elapses with no spending bill to replace it. This is how we assess the shutdown unfolding and how it will affect the outcome of the final 2024 budget.
Could a right-wing government in Spain follow in the footsteps of Meloni’s crusade against the EU economic framework? Tensions are high as we gear up to the all-important General Election on Sunday.
Pheew… close call! The bipartisan debt ceiling bill saved the U.S from economic disarray. Now we can all take a well-deserved summer holiday and bask in the sunshine of the long-term financial stability ensured by responsible lawmakers who have no interest in short-term solutions nor gains. But no – not so fast! We still have a looming government shutdown to attend to.
Does Biden and McCarthy have the necessary votes to suspend the debt ceiling and save the U.S from default?
The Turkey Election Watch Series will culminate on election day, May 14th and 15th – READ OUR LATEST PREDICTIONS BEFORE ELECTION NIGHT. Steno Research launches our very own Turkey Election Live Blog. We will provide you with live updates, key trends and analyses from the election while results tick in.
Turkey is heading to the polls on May 14th and the stakes couldn’t be higher. In this piece, we draw up the main foreign policy differences between the top contestants Erdogan and Kılıçdaroğlu.
When it comes to the debt ceiling, politicians are not the only ones asleep at the steering wheel. Political commentators, too, seem freakishly calm telling folks that Congress *eventually* has to reach a settlement on raising the debt ceiling. While I don’t disagree with the end-result, it is astounding how few are concerned with the likely government crisis that will unfold before a deal is struck. We are underestimating the power of the Freedom Caucus and overestimating Biden’s willingness to avoid a government shutdown. The cocktail is putting the U.S. on a path towards debt brinkmanship.
Geopolitically, no election can contest the significance of the dual Turkish Presidential and Parliament elections this year. President Erdogan has never lost an election (national, local or referendum) in his 21 year reign, but right now polls predict a toss-up between him and the opposition coalition. We are following the campaign trail with an eagle’s-eye, and are giving you the key insights in our new Turkey Election Watch Series. Come along for the ride.
Are EU banks more solid and protected from bank runs and instability in the banking system? Have the EU set up safe-guards that will keep the European Banks safe? We take a closer look and are not overly convinced.
In the first edition of our Demographics Watch series, we took inventory of the global problem of aging populations. The issue is a familiar one in the West, but ‘The Asian Tigers’ too are waking up to a new reality of shrinking working populations. Who is next in line to take over from China as the world’s labour hub?