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Out of the box #2: Back to austerity. Euro sovereign crisis vol 2?

Out of the box #2: Back to austerity. Euro sovereign crisis vol 2?

The hardships brought about by Covid and the Ukraine war initially fostered political unity across Europe. In this article however, I will argue that fragmentation may soon regain prominence as liquidity diminishes, labor markets weaken, and governments face the need to implement tighter fiscal policies. These circumstances create a fertile ground for the resurgence of the zero-sum debtor/creditor conflict that characterized the 2010s.

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Steno Signals #46 – Liquidity is drying up fast! Sell in May and go away?

Steno Signals #46 – Liquidity is drying up fast! Sell in May and go away?

We have been bullish on equities through the year but now see increasing signs warranting a defensive shift in positioning. Liquidity is drying up both in Europe and the US, and BoJ has effectively made further liquidity adding interventions unnecessary. China may be the only place on earth with positive liquidity trends.

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5 Things We Watch: Five Aspects Surrounding the Banking Turmoil

5 Things We Watch: Five Aspects Surrounding the Banking Turmoil

This week really has been one for the books. On Friday, markets sounded the alarm as we experienced the second largest bank-failure in US history. Naturally, this behemoth event swept magazine covers and blew up our phones and inboxes leaving not much room for other things to watch – hence this peculiar edition of the recurring ‘5 Things We Watch’, where all five things relate to the banking frenzy.

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