Markets are finally sensing that something is rotten in the economy. We have a look at what to stay on top of in the weeks to come.
Ifo Nugget: Now good news are bad news
With today’s release of the total Ifo data from the manufacturing sector we wanted to quickly touch upon the main data points we are looking at. We particularly note that good news in Germany, is now bad news for the EUR, since an uptick in the industry means more gas buying, which in turn means more FX outflow.
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Ifo Watch: The German de-industrialization continues
This week we had the anticipated German Ifo report come out in full, and while most parameters did not surprise, some might just be worth a closer inspection – an inspection we’ve decided to carry out
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5 Things We Watch – EU Inflation, US Labor Market, European Money Growth, UK Stagflation & IFO
The doves are back after yesterday’s job openings data which signaled a labor market cooling off, allowing consensus to favor a pause in September. As always, there are plenty of things to dive into in this week’s edition.
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IFO Nugget: Disinflation, lay-offs and weak orders/inventory ratios
The IFO Survey from Germany was a mixed bag of goodies but it emphasizes the trends seen lately. Germany is likely in a disinflationary recession already.
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Something for your Espresso: Everything you better watch while ISM Manufacturing rebounds
There are admittedly early signs that the Manufacturing sector rebounds in the US with the Dallas Fed PMI confirming the stabilization narrative. We tend to agree on the direction of travel in Manufacturing, but here is everything you need to watch outside of that sector.
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Something for your Espresso: The cyclical litmus test
Focus on cyclical indicators from Europe and the US this week while China is trying to prop up local assets again. Make or break time!
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German Ifo Nugget: Any comfort in the detail?
A brief nugget about today’s headline Ifo numbers. We’ll release an article about the full report next week.
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