As we conclude a busy midweek with loads of matter to digest in a global macro we will this week attempt to make an odd synthesis between the recent events in China its importance for price action and how we look at it going forward and Trump’s success in New Hampshire and how we are currently framing the 2016 campaign in the context of the EM space
China Watch: From a controlled demolition to another round of damage control?
The drivers of the recent sell-off in Chinese equities mirror the weakness of the Real Estate sector and the two are inherently interlinked. The question is whether the leadership will respond to the sell-off in the same way they did during the Real Estate crisis last year. In such case, fundamentals will remain unadressed. Read our takeaway below
EM by EM #38: Inflation returning with a vengeance?
As the US CPI is set to maintain its resilience, several sectors are contending with margin pressure due to the slower decline in costs. In the world of emerging markets, the soft landing appears to be losing steam, running on fumes. Meanwhile, finance ministers are once again in the limelight as 2024 unfolds as a pivotal election year globally
Out of the Box #23: Why the Treasury undershoots actual issuance needs
The US fiscal trajectory is unsustainable and will require resolution, but does it inevitably entail excessively high-interest rates for “longer”? We have our doubts.
EM by EM #27 Not a Bazooka, but a Pumpgun
The long awaited stimulus package is here! But it is anything but overwhelming… Read our takeaways here
Spending Watch: The great question about excess savings
One of the big drivers behind inflation and the economic boom in 2021 is the excess liquidity that the US government created for households and consumers. But what exactly has excess savings meant for the economy, and what is the outlook? Find out here.