If the Biden admin moves the needle first in the flared-up trade conflict, China may decide to let go of the USD/CNY exchange rate in response. Things are heating up again!
Trade alert: Scandi RV
We see a strong RV case between the Scandis!
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Trade Alert: Playing Steep vs Safe
We have taken on a new FX position and have pinned another to the watchlist. See details below
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EM by EM #39: All roads out of China lead to goods disinflation
Geopolitics and fiscal excess are fueling price pressures in global macro. But there’s one actor that could combine the two and undermine the inflationary momentum
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Trade Alert: Stopped out of shipping, but taking on liquidity bets
Shippingwatch.dk stopped us out of our Shipping longs, but we are betting on three strong liquidity trades for our portfolio. See more here.
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Trade Alert: Taking profit on duration
We see some interesting changes to the environment for January when we factor in rising liquidity and inflation at the same time.
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Trade Alert: A defensive yet cyclical tilt
We see cyclicality as overcooked in equity space, but find ways to exploit the stretched positioning.
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Trade Alert: Bye bye 7.30?
We find value in the FX space again now that USDJPY seems to have comfortably broken 150 after a bit of volatility.
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Trade Alert: Entering the Oil-proxy up north
We flip our exposures in the Energy space and find value in adding a lagged proxy trade to the current oil price spike.
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Investment Screening: Why Biden’s Order is Actually a Good Sign for US-China Relations
I think Biden’s executive order on investment screening is actually a good sign for US-China relations and a part of the ongoing “mini-detente”. Read why!
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Trade Alert: Buy TLT
The purchase of TLT looks attractive from both a technical, tactical and fundamental perspective at this juncture. May inflation will look soft across the globe.
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