We are not miles from the needed threshold level of USD reserves in the system and the Fed is aware of that. This is a strong reason to believe that liquidity conditions will remain benign from here on a trend basis.
Steno Signals #86 – Trading the relative Fed and ECB balance sheet development
With an increasingly tricky timing of the first rate cut, we look for tradable trends in balance sheets instead. Balance sheet trends are easier to predict, which makes them very tradeable. Here is why!