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Wage Watch: Wage negotiations in Germany to taint the disinflationary picture?

With German CPI being released today we have taken a deeper look into the wage negotiations in Germany, which might give a hint to how inflation dynamics will evolve in the future. Follow along in this short piece!
2023-04-28

 

This week we published an inflation watch for the Eurozone, in which we see data favoring an overall disinflationary picture. However, we also noted some drivers were painting a more sticky inflation picture such as businesse’s reluctance to give up their margins and wage pressures from workers. This week Germany’s biggest public union Verdi reached an agreement with the government to be voted through by its members and we wanted to look at the consequences of said deal for the German wage indices.  

Chart 1: Higher wages support higher prices

With German CPI being released today we have taken a deeper look into the wage negotiations in Germany, which might give a hint to how inflation dynamics will evolve in the future. Follow along in this short piece!

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