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Positioning Watch – Hedge Funds Potentially Caught in the China Storm, While Retail Investors Keep Piling In
2024-10-09
After the turmoil in the Hang Seng/CSI this week, with the Hang Seng dropping roughly 10 percent, one would expect sentiment to decrease rather dramatically. However, that’s not the case ...China Watch: Elevator Up, Elevator Down… The Most Hated Rally in History?
2024-10-09
We saw the worst day in the Hang Seng since Lehman yesterday, but China used the opportunity to “feed the rally” with something to look forward to—a briefing on fiscal ...The Drill: No stimmie, no fun for China
2024-10-08China is getting slaughtered this morning as the “stimmie drug” is fizzling while geopolitical risk in crude is waning. We keep a negative bias on commodity markets as the China ...The Week at a Glance: No Country for Inflation Undershooting Men
2024-10-07Rates market dynamics have swiftly flipped, and the inflation releases this week will likely underpin the shift in sentiment. The labor market is the main reason to cut, not inflation. To ...Steno Signals #120 – Liquidity and rate cuts are incoming in an already OK economy
2024-10-06A better-than-feared jobs report, although somewhat “clouded” by a large public sector contribution. Overall, it seems like we are getting stimulus for an already stable economy, which is hard to ...Liquidity Watch: Houston, we have a liquidity/SOFR problem!
2024-10-03We’ve seen a significant spike in SOFR-EFFR spreads over the past 48 hours, which feels reminiscent of September 2019, though on a smaller scale. The Fed may be facing a ...
