Macro Nugget: Good luck with your projection, Powell
Fed is projecting unemployment rate at 4.3% in 2025
Fed’s median UE rate projection for 2025 was lowered by 10 bps and now sits at 4.3. Jobs hard to get less jobs plentiful still suggesting that we should see a 3 pp increase from the 1 yr min over the next 1-2 qtr. We might have a pivot to the pivot in the beginning of 2025
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