There is normally a pretty nice correlation between the yearly percentage change in equities and the yearly change in earnings. And S&P 500 pricing is now indicating that markets expects earnings to show further gains in 2025. We know that equity...
The Chinese issuance of USD-denominated bonds in Saudi Arabia may seem negligible on the surface, but it holds significant signal value for the direction of the USD. If China feared a strong USD – or planned a devaluation – this would be an odd move. It...
We covered Scott Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan a couple of weeks ago. One of his “3’s” is the goal of producing an additional 3 million barrels of oil equivalent to put downward pressure on headline inflation. Unfortunately for Bessent and other...
We are fading Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada as we see them as negotiation tactics more than actual threats of real implementation. To read the full article, sign up for a 14-day FREE trial of the The Macro Connoisseur, Professional or Crypto plan....
Yesterday, we received the Ifo headline data out of Germany, and one thing is certain: the German manufacturing sector is in dire need of help. For example, Thyssenkrupp is planning to cut or relocate one-third of its entire workforce by 2030. A functioning government...
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