If you have read along over the past month we have had a lot of focus on China and from a macro view for a good reason. Currently, credit growth in China is stagnant, particularly in terms of the narrow money measure (M1). Authorities appear to be facing challenges in...
We get German CPI pritns today and after the latest Ifo report the labor market shows signs of cooling. Given the hiring intentions of German firms, Lagarde should also pivot her focus from prices to employment, following the steps we have seen from Powell over the...
The Chinese momentum has come to a sudden halt, and we think it is related to the front-loading of imports due to tariff fears. Could China become the victim of a wait-and-see approach until after New Years? To read the full article, sign up for a 14-day FREE trial of...
Goldman Sachs has highlighted concerns regarding crude oil, noting the potential for OPEC to discipline non-OPEC countries by reversing supply cuts. Things could get spicy in crude oil prices if OPEC decides to reverse its supply cuts amid global economic weaknesses....
The latest Ifo data suggests an imminent recession in Germany, with expectations of slowing growth and inflation as autumn approaches. Despite concerning trends, high frequency and robust data provide a basis for cautious optimism, indicating stable conditions. To...
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